Brexit and the Eastern and Central Europe: Comparative Impact Assessment

Konrad Jajecznik

The Brexit process will result in a profound reconfiguration of the international system in both Europe as a whole and in the EU specifically. As a consequence, it will challenge the Central-European EU Member States to redefine their roles and positions. This paper will attempt to present a comparative analysis of the V4 countries' responses to the aforementioned process in key policy areas of: economic strategy and migration policy; military security; domestic security; as well as their input into the EU's negotiation agenda following triggering Art. 50 procedure by the UK. An economic as well as security affairs are two key fields of interest from Central-European countries' point of view. Beside analysing those countries' general economic interests divergence, the paper will address the key aspect of anticipated implications for the CE economic-migrant communities in the UK. What is more, general comparison of V4 Brexit negotiation positions seems to be necessary. Moreover, socio-economic issues do not cover broadly defined security interests, which have to be considered on top of the abovementioned issues, where strengthening of NATO's Eastern Flank seems to demonstrate compatibility of the UK's point of view with those of some of CE countries. Last but not least, the socio-cultural aspects of security (in terms of European identity, border control, police cooperation) is a key topic of public debates both in Central European countries, primarily in the context of migration crisis responses, and the EU leave pre-referendum campaign in Great Britain. Paper will present comparative impact assessment of the abovementioned problems from th4e perspective of individual V4 countries, and will conclude on the degree of their convergence / divergence.

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