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Business Cycles and Credit Cycles in the Context of the European Banking Integration Process

Stanislav Percic

Over the last two decades, the EU has responded decisively to the economic and financial crisis. During this period important improvements have been made to the Economic and Monetary Union, substantial financial reform agenda was implemented, in order to response to the financial crisis, thus making the financial institutions and markets more stable, more competitive and, at the same time, more flexible.As a natural step in European Union Integration process and as a lifeboat for overcome the actual financial tsunami, the European Commission made a proposal for a Banking Union, thus placing the banking sector on a more stable basis and restoring confidence on the Old Continent.In this context, the research aims at performing an econometric analysis of the credit cycle and business cycle from an individual (each cycle taken separately), as well as a comparative (involving both cycles) perspective, in the context of the banking integration process in the European Union. This research intends to be more than an analytical retrospective on economic cyclicity and financial crisis in European Union; it tends to analyze in a perspective mode the impact of economic cyclic interference on European Union Integration process emphasizing the Banking Union trend.

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